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Stock Analysis

2026 Q1 Earnings Season Roadmap

Why a beat no longer moves a stock, what our own positions are already telling us, and why we're taking profits into cash.

Global Markets

Iran Pulled the Trigger. China Will Bleed.

China Imports 40% of Its Oil and 30% of Its LNG Through That Strait. The U.S. Imports Almost None. Twenty Years of Work Towards Energy Independence Was Never an Accident.

Stock Analysis

Is the earnings bar dead?

We ran 44 earnings events across five mega-cap tech names. Does beating expectations correlation with stock pricing in the AI/CapEx era?

Tactical Allocation

The Ceasefire Changes the Macro. It Doesn't Change the CapEx Cycle.

Markets bought the ceasefire headline. We're buying what the war mispriced.

Portfolio Strategy

The Core Held. Here's What We Did With It.

Q1 2026: What the Core Did While Everything Else Broke.

Commodities

Oil's Moment: The Iran Premium Is Back

Crude markets have repriced. The question is how far — and how fast — the disruption holds.

Economic Commentary

The Price of Admission

The Supreme Court struck down IEEPA tariffs. Four days later, there's a new 15% universal surcharge. The trade war didn't end — it changed legal vehicles.

Fed & Rates

Will a New Fed Chair Change the Rules of the Game?

What Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair Nomination Means for Your Capital.